Red Bull has a commanding 165-point lead over Ferrari after their seventh one-two finish of the season in Japan. There are just 191 points still up for grabs in the season’s last four races (with Brazil featuring the Sprint format).
For Red Bull to clinch their first constructors’ title since the 2013 season, they will need a lead of 147 points at the conclusion of the Austin weekend.
Ferrari has to outscore Red Bull by 19 points at the Circuit of The Americas, with a one-two finish and the bonus point for fastest lap delivering 44 points, in order to postpone Red Bull’s celebrations.
Even yet, Red Bull could still win the championship if Verstappen and Sergio Perez finished third and fourth (they would get 27 points total).
Red Bull
F1 constructors’ battle
| Key numbers as Red Bull close in on the crown |
|---|
| Points available across the final four races: 191 |
| Red Bull’s current advantage over Ferrari: 165 |
| Points available after the United States GP: 147 |
| Red Bull will clinch the title in Austin if Ferrari fail to out-score them by 19 points |
A win and fastest lap bonus point for either Verstappen or Perez would be enough to get the job done if Ferrari fails to maximize its points return (something the Scuderia have only done once in 2022, at the Bahrain season opener).
Last but not least, Ferrari will be unable to stop Red Bull from winning the title if Verstappen and Perez finish ahead of Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz next weekend.
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